Black Swans & People Analytics

Directionally Correct Newsletter, The #1 People Analytics Substack

By: Cole Napper

Source

This article is written to discuss: how the influence of exogenous, unpredictable events is making modeling human behavior in people analytics challenging. 

Context

“All models are wrong, some are useful”  - George Box

If all you had ever seen was white swans, would you know to look for a black swan? This is the thesis behind Nassim Ta…